#Polls

zeynep tufekci

zeynep

Folks, the exit polls are garbage this year. They just can't not be. They'll try to fix this by weighting (as they tried in 2016; most of the numbers that

Adam Tranter

adamtranter

THREAD: A thread on research and sampling, and how the media use data and polling.I can safely say from a decade of working with media, it is *highly* unusual for

Rachel Wolf

racheljanetwolf

People are making environmental policy the ‘bellwether’ of different policy strategies. I think this is wrong.Green policies are widely supported, by people across different classes and locations. It has geopolitical

K. Chen

tznkai

To all of those who are just now discovering their party is not for them I'm supposed to be a liberal Republican. You get over it and pull the fucking

Mark Worgan

worgztheowl

'Keir Starmer has lost the Vice magazine vote, and Labour should be worried'**In other news, the party's membership is up to 580,000https://www.vice.com/en_uk/article/qj4jam/labour-young-members-keir-starmer I see Owen Jones has

1A

1a

Native voters shaped the 2020 election. What happens next? We talk to @RepDavids first. Then, @allieyoung13, @NickA_Martin and @JJ_Harvill join us live.https://wamu.fm/36JcTH8 "She has been a fierce advocate and organizer

Lauren Vidas 😷

BroadAndMarket

PA Voting / Election Law Open ! @JamieMogil and I are election lawyers and have been fielding a ton of questions as we head into the big day tomorrow.

words are weapons ⚡

vimoh

It is very important to understand one thing about bhakts. They are not stupid. They are spiteful and hateful. Spite takes effort to sustain. Sustained hatred campaigns take labour. This

Anipoke Central 🏆 | #Anipoke

AnipokeCentral

So polling/tournaments has become prominent in the #Anipoke community lately, and I’ve noticed a few things on mine and others polls. Disclaimer: if you get triggered easily, don’t read this.

Yascha Mounk

Yascha_Mounk

Four years ago, I was more pessimistic than most: I never assumed the institutions would contain Trump.Now, I'm more optimistic than many: If Biden wins, we are likely to have

Unite in justice for the poor & oppressed

BreeNewsome

GA organizers just showed everyone the path to building progressive majorities in gov't by engaging w/ disengaged voters who show up at polls when they believe an election will result

Anthony O'Connor

Antcon7062

We are now seemingly at a point where the government is going to fully diverge from NPHET advice. It is their right to do that. The people voted them in

zeynep tufekci

zeynep

Buried within this story about long-term care facilities, there is an alarming statistic claiming 63% of staff "refused" the vaccine. There is high rates of hesitancy and deferral among staff,

Max Kennerly

MaxKennerly

Here's the Dem vote margin for the 24 vulnerable Democratic House candidates compared to their GovTrack ideology score.There's of course a million caveats here, but, in the aggregate: the more

Andy Cotgreave

acotgreave

Thread: How would YOU visualize poll tracker data? You have 50 US states and a race to 270 Electoral College votes. Here's a thread of several approaches from the media,

Jake and The Derg 🎨⚖️💛🐝

JakeReif

Some non-Georgians on this bird app seem to be addicted to this idea that they (1) understand the dynamics on the ground here and (2) think that Democrats win by

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